NOMATEQ · CCMM · Homicide & Serious Crime
The question every homicide investigator faces
Scene 01
Organised scene — evidence removed, controlled entry and exit⊕ Known to victim
Forensic 01
Partial DNA — unknown contributor, male, 25–40 estimated⚠ Unmatched
Digital 01
Phone dark period — 4-hour gap centred on estimated time of death⚠ Suppressed
Witness 01
Vehicle sighted — dark SUV, partial plate, 800m from scene⚠ Unconfirmed
Alibi 01
Primary suspect — alibi stated, not yet verified⚠ Unverified
Unknown offender · 5 signals · no profile · no pathway · no score
Without a framework — you're profiling blind.
CCMM builds the offender from the scene out.
OPS score converging · offender type: organised · local · known to victim
🎯 Try the Profiler Demo → 📚 Back to Vol. 1
9 formulas + OPS5 serious crime domainsIncluded with active licence
Convergence
0.00
OPS
Score
CCMM — Conditional Consequence Mapping Methodology · Volume 2: Homicide & Serious Crime|Scene indicators shown are illustrative — not from any real investigation|nomateq.com.au/CCMM-Vol2.html
NOMATEQ · CCMM Framework · Volume 2
Conditional Consequence
Mapping Methodology
Homicide & Serious Crime
The first published framework applying Bayesian evidence updating, unknown offender profiling, and forensic convergence scoring to homicide and serious crime investigation — from blank-sheet unknown offender to prosecution-ready case assessment.
Volume: 2 — HomicideFormulas: 9 Core + OPSStatus: In Development
🧬
Forensic Update
Sequential evidence — DNA, fingerprint, digital trace each update suspect probability in real time.
🎭
Offender Profiling
Unknown offender — crime scene indicators build a probabilistic profile before any suspect is named.
🗂️
Suspect Elimination
Structured matrix — probability-ranked elimination of persons of interest as evidence resolves.
🎯
Convergence Score
Case readiness — forensic, digital, witness, and behavioural streams scored against a single conclusion.
F1 BEU
Bayesian Evidence Update — forensic evidence probability revision
F2 ECS
Evidence Convergence Score — forensic and witness stream alignment
F4 SPM
Suspect Probability Matrix — multi-suspect ranked elimination
F3 TAI
Behavioural Anomaly Index — movement, comms and alibi deviation scoring
F8 HACS
MO Comparison Score — offender database and typology matching
OPS New
Offender Profile Score — probabilistic unknown offender profiling from scene indicators
Vol. 2 Contents6 Parts — Architecture · Formulas · Domain Application · Case Studies · Templates · Quick Reference
HomicideSerious AssaultSexual AssaultChild ExploitationUnexplained Death
NOMATEQ · CCMM Vol. 2 · Homicide & Serious Crime|Included with all active CCMM licences on release|For professional law enforcement use only|In Development
CCMM Vol. 2 · How It Works · Live Investigation Demo

The investigator does the work.
The framework structures the result.

CCMM Vol. 2 does not watch CCTV footage. It does not pull phone records. It does not conduct interviews. You do. The framework takes what you discover and tells you what it means in combination — which suspect to focus on, how strongly the evidence supports that decision, and what is missing. Walk through Operation SENTINEL to see how it works.

Operation SENTINEL
Homicide · Unknown offender · Day 1 through Day 14
Male victim, 34. Organised scene. Evidence removed. No immediate suspect. Investigation begins with unknown offender profile.
Fictional scenario · Illustrative only
Day 0
🔍
Scene examination
Organised scene. Evidence removed. Local knowledge indicated.
What the investigator found
Organised scene suggesting planning and familiarity with the location. Evidence deliberately removed or cleaned. Entry and exit controlled. Local knowledge strongly indicated.
CCMM Vol. 2 input — OPS scene indicators
Organised scene recorded in OPS dimension table. Profile begins: organised offender type, local anchor probability elevated. Stranger hypothesis deprioritised.
CCMM BEU · Suspect probability · Live
P(H|E) — Posterior probability
8%
Opening prior — scene examination complete. Unknown offender profile commenced.
0%Production orderWarrantCharge100%
Evidence streams active
Scene indicators (OPS)
CCTV and surveillance
Phone records (dark period)
ANPR and vehicle tracking
Financial transaction intelligence
Alibi consistency (TAI)
Add each evidence item as the investigation progresses. Watch the suspect probability update in real time.
Investigation commenced
Illustrative demo — Operation SENTINEL is a fictional scenario for training and demonstration purposes only · Probability values use indicative weights · Calibrated P(E|H) values are proprietary to CCMM Vol. 2 · Not a substitute for professional investigative judgement · nomateq.com.au/CCMM-Vol2.html
CCMM · Vol. 2 · Interactive Preview
Homicide & Serious Crime — Formula Demonstrations
Four interactive previews showing the analytical logic of Vol. 2. Illustrative only — calibrated formula weights and thresholds are proprietary to the licensed manual.
F1 BEU — Evidence Update
F2 ECS — Convergence
OPS Profiler NEW
F3 Alibi TAI
F1 BEU — Bayesian Evidence Update
Add evidence items in sequence
Suspect probability P(H|E)
5%
Posterior probability
Opening prior — no evidence added
Production order
Warrant
Charge
0%25%50%75%100%
Click evidence items in sequence to watch Bayesian updating in action.
Opening prior: 0.05 — suspicion raised, no evidence yet.

Each update: P(H|E) = [P(E|H) × P(H)] / [P(E|H)×P(H) + P(E|¬H)×P(¬H)]

Calibrated P(E|H) values for each evidence type are proprietary to Vol. 2.
F2 ECS — Evidence Convergence Score
Select active evidence streams
ECS Result
0.00
Evidence Convergence Score
0 of 9 streams active
0.00.250.500.751.0
Insufficient convergence
Select evidence streams to calculate convergence.
Homicide streams weight forensic and digital evidence more heavily than testimonial.

Calibrated weights and corroboration multipliers are proprietary to CCMM Vol. 2.
OPS — Offender Profile Score
Select crime scene indicators
Offender profile
Low
Profile confidence
Unknown offender profiling begins before any suspect is named. Indicators update probabilistic profile dimensions in real time.

OPS (Offender Profile Score) is a new formula introduced in CCMM Vol. 2. Calibrated weightings are proprietary to the licensed manual.
F3 TAI — Alibi Consistency Index
Select alibi inconsistency indicators
Behavioural anomaly score
0
TAI Adapted — Alibi Consistency
No inconsistencies flagged
0255075100
Consistent alibi
Select alibi indicators to assess consistency.
F3 TAI adapted for homicide: transaction anomalies replaced by behavioural deviations — movement gaps, communication breaks, and alibi timeline inconsistencies.

Calibrated weights are proprietary to CCMM Vol. 2.
F1 BEU P(H|E) = [P(E|H) × P(H)] / [P(E|H)×P(H) + P(E|¬H)×P(¬H)]  ·  sequential update with each new evidence item
Illustrative demo — indicative weights only · calibrated values proprietary to CCMM Vol. 2|Not a substitute for professional investigative judgment
Licensing · Access & Pricing

Professional access.
Structured for investigators and units.

CCMM Vol. 2 is included with all active CCMM licences on release. Pre-ordering now locks in current pricing and gives you immediate access to Vol. 1 while Vol. 2 is finalised. No loose PDFs. No unsecured delivery. No unauthorised copies.

Vol. 2 is in development — pre-order locks in current pricing
Vol. 1 Financial Crime is available immediately on all active licences
Pre-order and lock in price →
Individual
Single Investigator
Single named-user access. All volumes as released. Portal delivery.
Annual licence
$590 AUD
Per named investigator · annual · ex. GST
What is included
Vol. 1 Financial Crime — immediate access
Vol. 2 Homicide — delivered on release
Personalised watermark — your name and licence ID on every page
Secure portal delivery — no unsecured attachments
Annual renewal for continued access and new volumes
Single named user only. Not transferable. Renewal required to access volumes released after licence expiry.
Request individual licence →
Custom · Enterprise
Custom Deployment
Bespoke tool build, training delivery, or agency-wide deployment. Scoped per engagement.
Engagement scoped
Contact
Law enforcement · banking · financial intelligence units
Options include
CCMM built into a bespoke detection or case management tool
Facilitated workshop delivery for investigation units and fraud teams
Calibrated weights for your specific fraud typology or crime domain
Agency-wide deployment with unlimited named-user access
Annual SLA and recalibration as crime typologies evolve
Scope and deliverables confirmed in writing before engagement commences.
Request a scoping consultation →
Personalised watermark
Every page carries your name and licence ID. Unauthorised distribution is traceable.
Secure portal delivery
No unsecured email attachments. Documents delivered through a verified access portal.
New volumes automatically
Active licences receive all new volumes as they are released. No separate purchase required.
Annual licence model
Renewal required for continued access. Lapsed licences lose access to the portal and future volumes.
Pre-order note: Pre-ordering locks in current pricing for all volumes including Vol. 2 on release. Vol. 1 Financial Crime is available immediately on all active licences. Vol. 2 Homicide and Serious Crime is in development — release timeline confirmed on request. All prices AUD exclusive of GST. GABEY Consulting Pty Ltd ACN 121 511 055.
FAQ · Common questions

Questions from investigators,
answered plainly.

The most common questions from detectives, analysts, prosecutors, and unit supervisors — answered without jargon.

Still have a question?
Contact GABEY Consulting directly. We respond to professional enquiries from law enforcement and financial intelligence units within one business day.
Send an enquiry →
CCMM — Conditional Consequence Mapping Methodology · GABEY Consulting Pty Ltd ACN 121 511 055
Abeysekera, P. (2026). SSRN Abstract ID 6364078 · Submitted 7 March 2026 · nomateq.com.au/CCMM-Vol2.html